avint

O&D demand forecast for a new route

Demand forecasts every passenger between two airports, by any routing, and what a new nonstop adds to that market.

See it run

Demand
Asking
Task

What is the demand stimulation of a new route between Aarhus and Lisbon?

Trace

    What it answers

    • How big will this market be in one to five years?
    • What does a new daily nonstop do to it?
    • Would a second daily, or a low-cost daily instead, grow it more?

    How it works

    • Growth and season

      Baseline growth and a monthly seasonal shape, applied to the market you give it.

    • Stimulation from published evidence

      What a new nonstop adds, from SEO Amsterdam Economics Discussion Paper 88, with the published range for a first nonstop beside it.

    • The market, not the route

      Every passenger in the market, by any routing, one to five years out.

    Works with

    Called by
    • Route Evaluation
    • Catchment
    • Network Simulation, upcoming
    • Pricing, upcoming
    • Competitive Landscape, upcoming
    • Loyalty & Revenue, upcoming

    Bring us a decision you're working on.

    Half an hour with Manuel Mogollon, twelve years in airline network planning. Bring a real route, lease, or delay problem, and we'll run it through the agents live.